re "agree with"; You sound like a moron. How much $ are AI researchers who have dedicated their life to it gonna make by shorting AI? If you can't even solve this much then you don't have well-rounded intelligence. let alone be an AI researcher.
Also, do you even know what General mean? Gemini can't even tell me what time the library is open today, while even a 3y kid can. So much for "accurately".
If agi is coming, or even another ai as overwhelming as chatgpt is to its prior age, Then investing in all those companies is the Last thing to do. since they'd be leapfrogged by what's coming.
By investing in them one declares that there are no leapfrogs coming. Aka no agi, or even anything close to 10x chatgpt.
With that therefore, the battlefield shifts to being the best middleman. hence all those senseless amounts of money thrown around. For the masses will no longer need to personally seek out God Altman for their top oracling needs, and so someone can come between God and man, capture all value like microsoft did to ibm, and use it to compete building a new God (read: new scam). Rinse repeat.