I keep asking this of people making the argument of “when tariffs are felt…”?
Where do you think they will be felt and by who?
My guess is among Trump supporters, especially among those solid blue collar middle class vocal MAGA ones, most of these tariffs will not be felt in any really meaningful way. The tariffs that might affect the middle class (basically east Asia) will be the first ones that end up negotiating them away before American consumers feel them…because it’s in those countries best interest and they know it.
The biggest danger to Trump from these tariffs are from the GOP politicians and conservative retirees and nearing retirement age who will not be happy with the stock market if it doesn’t stabilize soon. The price increases don’t hurt them, it’s the impact on their portfolios.
They’ll be felt by everyone buying goods in the US as prices increase, it’s not a trick question.
So all goods. Care to explain how it will affect all goods including domestic goods?
Solid blue collar people will pay most of it in form of more expensive cloth, food, cars ... everything. The poorer you are, the more you will feel it. If you are rich, prices going up by 20% are nothing. If you are middle class, it is annoying. If you are poor, it is disaster.
Plus, truly rich are getting lower taxes. Tariffs are partially meant to offset those looses.
Tariffs will have negative impact if it’s on an everyday item. That group doesn't buy new luxury euro cars and wines every day. They buy domestic or Japanese and domestic beer and liquor. I’m convinced that east asia (Japan, Korea, Vietnam) will negotiate the tariffs down and that will bring Japanese/Korean vehicles and clothes prices down because China will need to lower prices to stay competitive to Vietnam and Korea and will just eat the tariff.
Coffee will go up, but most food staples will not be all that volatile because Mexico got the out. Coffee is weird one though…because people will gladly pay 30% more for coffee on account of it being more an habit/addiction.