Hasn't there been too many "Surely they can't be that stupid/incompetent?", starting with "Hillary is surely going to win it"... and until yesterday everyone thought "Surely the regime in charge of the world's biggest economy isn't going to agree to the geriartic-in-a-full-diaper[1] wanting to implement his first-grader logic of how the world economy should work?".

[1] "I’ve heard from a reliable source, that Trump smells of soiled diapers, Axe Body Spray and hotdog burps.": https://www.indy100.com/politics/trump/trump-smell-kinzinger...