I mean, I agree with that. That certainly matches my experience. I just don't think the deciding factor is "simpleness" so much as an inability to handle large scale at all.
My point is more that LLMs can handle (some) projects that are useful. It's not just oneliners and hello worlds. There's a region in between "one-page demos" and "medium-sized codebases and up" where useful work can already happen.