The "1-2%" number the author repeatedly cites is misleading at best. These fees do not scale with the amount transacted. BTC tranfers are currently ~$0.80 whether you're moving $1 or $100k, which is a unique feature.
> SQL databases will continue to get faster as hardware speeds up - but blockchains only tend to get slower, as the volume of transactions grows.
This is also misleading, as there are systems like Solana which prioritize speed of confirmation, and do indeed get faster as hardware speeds up. It also allows for sub-cent fees (again, not based on a percentage of the amount moved).
This is not actually true, it still has the same scaling bottlenecks with state access but they are expressed differently (via hidden tx finality slowdowns) since it does not have an effective fee market.
Solana also ignores that part of the core reasoning that you'd want to use blockchains is for their decentralization and your ability to independently verify them in their pursuit of being able to claim 4000 tx/s. You need a 10 gigabit network connection to run a full node.
Ideal condition speed vs congestion speed is a different thing- I'm not suggesting they don't face the standard scaling bottlenecks, but it is also true that under similar congestion conditions, the network will run faster as hardware improves.
SQL databases also run slower under high load, which is totally independent of faster hardware allowing for faster databases vs the baseline
Re: independent verification, I agree with you. It's not a great tradeoff. I'm not here to shill Solana as a panacea or anything of the sort, just pointing out clear inaccuracies from the OOP.
But it doesn't, nobody has strictly improved on bitcoin (in terms of crypto design) since it was developed. Other cryptos will make claims about their speed or other things compared to bitcoin but never highlight what trade offs they had to make for those
Ethereum is a strict improvement on Bitcoin in nearly every way. Proof of Stake is a much better consensus mechanism all-around. Smart contracts allow for way more use-cases than just money transfer. The account model is much simpler and more intuitive than UTXO. The block time is considerably faster and finality is guaranteed.
Wrong. Some other cryptos do highlight their trade-offs. E.g. google "This isn’t to say Grin is better than others, it simply makes different tradeoffs."
My company actually does have a use case where a blockchain makes sense, and we are proceeding that with it. Unfortunately we have a buzzword trifecta of "blockchain", "AI", and "cloud" so we are careful about the words we use when we talk about it publicly.
We never utter the work blockchain because if you say "a blockchain" most people hear ** THE blockchain!! ** and either think we're a yet another bunch of scammers or worse, get tremendously excited thinking we're doing web3 or some other scam they want in on. Instead we say "we protect the data using Merkel trees."
We have the other buzzword problem too: we use some machine vision (for some safety matters) and use RNNs to determine some local operating parameters and to crunch data for some lab experiments. Even though we have two former AI research scientists on the team, none of us want to be lumped in with the big langage model folks, since that's not what we do (and the hype is insane).
The blockchain application: we have a shitload of sensors monitoring equipment we'll be deploying all over the world. Our revenue depends on the performance of this equipment. So every sensor is built into a little box that signs and timestamps its data. The data are aggregated by the equipment and streamed up to our servers (cough "the cloud"). Connectivity can be intermittent, so machines can offload data to topologically nearby installations.
It's actually pretty nice to be outside the hype bubbles. We just concentrate on our work instead, and mostly the prospective customers don't understand any of the tech, much less what those buzzwords mean.
If I understood your use case correctly, then you don’t actually have a decentralized deployment since there’s a central server, and you’re literally not employing the blockchain though?
Yeah, we only need a distributed chain at the edge, and even there there aren’t “competing” changes in the sense there could be in an implementation of a currency. But it’s a block chain like any other Merkel tree.
But it’s to prove chain of custody / lack of tampering since revenue ultimately depends on the data.
This article lists international money transfers as a non-useful application of blockchains. USDT on Tron alone is now settling 1.25T$ (1/3 of Visa’s annual settlement volume).
I think the autor would argue that we are still in the era of "crypto is too small to fully regulate" stage. But if we take it to the extreme and 50% of all transactions are done with a crypto currency, why would governments _not_ apply all the traditional financial regulations to crypto? Moving money internationally is not hard due to technical reasons, but due to political reasons.
With crypto, you can move a billion dollars in 15 minutes to anywhere in the world for like $15, without giving away either source or destination. To do this, you need to send about 250 bytes of information to any node in the blockchain network, using any way possible, up to and including dictating these numbers by phone or writing them on a piece of paper and smuggling said piece to anybody with a non-censored internet connection.
Goverments can make this illegal, but it is impossible to enforce it. These 250 bytes are just another "illegal number", which can be written anywhere, sewn on your t-shirt, etched in stone, etc. There are many fully secure ways to transmit 250 bytes without anyone knowing about it (including governments). Therefore, there is a secure and bulletproof way to smuggle a billion dollars out of the country without getting stopped.
No one can do anything about it.
(Well, there is a crypto-sanctions mechanism which can taint some money on the blockchain and can make it difficult to sell on exchanges etc. But it just creates some inconvenience -- there are many ways to launder crypto, from mixers to bridges and coinjoin and anonymizing through fees arbitrage and whatever).
Maybe online, but with state actors the fear is what they can/will do to you IRL and how to avoid ever raising suspicion. And moving a billion dollars overnight is something that I think is impossible to do with raising eyebrows, regardless of the technical mechanism to move it.
if you make it illegal to convert btc to cash (which a government can do trivially), my contention is that this will kill crypto. Most people simply don't want to break the law. Much of the liquidity in the system dries up. Yes you can break the law if you want, but that just goes to show that crypto's number one real world use case is to skirt regulations.
The whole point of crypto is that, assuming you stay fully on chain, it cannot be regulated the way banks are. When you have the right keys and a connection to a node, nothing can stop you from sending BTC to another wallet. Regulation of crypto is possible only at the blockchain-tradfi interface (e.g. US Govt could tell Coinbase to not interact with a particular wallet). However, if crypto gains the sort of traction where you can buy most items with purely on-chain transfer, regulation becomes close to impossible as we see with cash.
The government in question can easily pass a law making it illegal for traditional financial institutions to interact with crypto. In this scenario, most users will simply stop using it to follow the law. For the die hards fans they will still reduce the use of the currency. They need to pay for taxes in the national currency and thus need income in the national currency. You still owe taxes on illegal income. Businesses need to pay payroll, vendors, and all taxes in the national currency. All of this means that individuals and businesses need national currency backed transactions to get the national currency to pay the taxes.
I agree that if you made "using btc" illegal then you and I could still send each other BTC. But I believe that you would rapidly see the use of crypto die out if governments cut it off from trad-fi, which they could do trivially easily.
Posession of gold was banned in several leadimg economies such as US and UK in the 20th century [1]. Didnt really stop people from using gold as a store of value.
If we take the logical extreme to mean that 50% of the transactions are carried out by 50% of the people, why would, at least where there are democratic governments, the people actively choose crypto because of its unregulated properties and then promptly undo it all with regulation?
But you're probably thinking of either cases where 50% of the transactions are carried out by a much smaller segment of the population or where there is a dictatorship?
Or is the US BTC ETF just a convenient way to speculate on the rising value of BTC, when the rising value is driven by the illicit activity happening elsewhere?
International money transfers is the only really useful (non-scammy) application I can see for blockchains. But I personally wouldn't use cryptocurrency for even that because of the elevated risk involved.
isn't git effectively a blockchain? Its got blocks, they are chained (or tree'd) (to some degree), it doesn't need verifiers or mining since it can have users signing their inputs, and that is the only thing to be cared about.
Git does not have a consensus mechanism. You have your copy of the repository, and someone else has their copy. If you want to push your changes to a remote, if there were divergent changes you need to first pull the remote, merge the changes and resolve conflicts, and then push. The remote can change their version of the repo anytime they want in any way they want. Also, when you try to push a change, it is up to the remote to accept it or not, they can deny it for whatever reason.
The point of a blockchain is that 1. There is a distributed consensus about the state of the blockchain (the one accepted by 51%+ of nodes) and 2. No one can alter information relating to your wallet without your keys. Git lacks either of these properties and these properties cannot be introduced without a centralized system like Github/Gitlab. Thus, Git is just a decentralized protocol, not a blockchain.
IMO no, this is one of those cases where a word means a lot more than just its component parts, much like how "television" means a lot more than just "anything where you do far-seeing."
The practical/effective distinction between what is promoted as "blockchain" and older stuff--like "a distributed database with cryptographic features"--involves:
1. Unrestricted global public membership, new nodes can be created by anyone at any time.
2. A global data structure that cannot have more than short-term conflicts or branches. (Hence a pruned "chain" instead of "tree".)
3. A cascade of other features all designed to stop someone from taking advantage of #1 and #2 to take over with an infinite army of sockpuppet nodes. (Proof of work, proof of stake, etc.)
In contrast, with git:
1. The default membership is "just me." Groups are ad-hoc as you find other people who you do (or don't) agree to work with and choose what to push/pull to one another.
2. Separate branches are extremely normal and can live indefinitely, and it's also normal to shift data from a conflicting branch or entirely rewrite subtrees.
3. There is no "majority rule" or "tiebreaker" logic, and thus no extra machinery to try to stop it.
The verification and mining are the things that make blockchains unique (allow for adversarial nodes, censorship resistance) but you're not wrong that blockchains have a lot in common with git
it's pretty much the exact same principle, the chain of hashed commit contents being part of the input to the next commit in the branch have the same property
Blockchains are not intended to be a universal solution, they excel in different ways, particularly enabling trustless and censorship-resistant value transfer. Which, for many new chains, is still their most used function.
Blockchain came about because of the assumption that an internet currency must be zero-trust.
But let's look at these paragraphs:
> Blockchain stocks fail criterion #2: there being no trusted party to host the database. The fact is that if you're going to hold the shares of a company, you explicitly need to trust them - so you may as well trust them to host your database.
> For example you need to trust that their published financial statements are accurate. You also need to trust that they will try to return your investment. Traditional companies hold their own register of shareholders (they just outsource the trading) and it is a problem very, very rarely.
Currencies work because we trust that the government (IE, the thing that governs,) keeps a stable value in the currency. IE, currencies are built on trust.
Even Bitcoin relies on trust: You have to trust the source code. You have to trust that there isn't a large bad actor perpetuating a >50% attack. You have to trust that, at some point in the future, your bitcoin will be worth something. Governments have it in their best interests to keep their currency valuable. (Unless you're post-WWI Germany and it's in your best interest to hyper-inflate your currency to make your debt worthless. IE, Germany realized that hyper-inflation was preferable to the economic toll of paying off their debt.)
This lesson, that currencies only work through trust, really negates the point of cryptocurrency for general-purpose usage.
I've built consumer apps in the space since 2016. (See lab.dns.xyz for context).
At the end of the day, even if you gave the average person a venmo like UX that paid in any currency, instantly, for nearly zero fees, I still don't expect them to prefer it to a dollar bill or gold.
While the counterpoints regarding UX are very significant (lose all your money in one click, no undo, lack of support, difficult concepts that don't map to common consumer use cases), they can be solved through sheer effort. We did that on dns.xyz. Social login, gasless minting, rollup for fast interactions, all doable.
There is no escaping the fact that blockchains are slow databases. That they aren't particularly good at storing data. Much less private than one might think.
You do get consensus and attribution. You can use it as a sort of open standard or api where the items you've bought or the things you're written are open enough to be reused in the future.
None of these problems are pains that need solving. And they are inferior solutions compared with alternatives.
It is great tech. It is great intellectual exploration. It is a fun stack. It has made people money through unregulated speculation.
Crypto is a way to store and exchange things over the internet without counterparty risk. Crypto has value for the same reason gold has value beyond its practical use. Think SVB type situations or needing to flee a country that just became a dictatorship.
The article espouses a very US centric view where the government is a trusted arbiter of all financial transactions and there is always a trusted third party to take on counterparty risk. This is obviously not the case all over the world.
The question is how much is that actually worth and can it support crypto's current market capitalization?
Crypto also has value as being able to create digital scarcity and ownership. For example, when you play games online today and you purchase cosmetic items or you play magic the gathering and buy cards, it's pretty silly that you only own a license to use those things for as long as the game exists and there is no way to trade them.
The above concept obviously falls flat when there is no effective scarcity, ie when everyone and their mother can produce nfts that are just jpegs with no actual use. Compare this to a magic the gathering or pokemon card that is just cardboard but still manages to maintain its value.
> Crypto is a way to store and exchange things over the internet without counterparty risk.
I feel like I must be missing something, because there's still massive amounts of counterparty risk. If you're engaging with a bad actor, the only thing that it can guarantee is that the transfer of payment is completed, but there are no guarantees around the exchange of value.
If you're trading with someone operating in bad faith, there is nothing about blockchain that is going to help you, and in fact it becomes much worse, because there is no mechanism for forcing refunds. At least with legal tender you have entire systems in place for dealing with bad actors. I'm more that willing to recognize there are massive problems with those systems, but I have never understood how blockchain replaces those systems.
Can you explain in detail what you mean when you say there isn't any counterparty risk?
You are right that in the scenario of exchanging crypto for physical goods there is counterparty risk but when using crypto along with digital contracts there is not.
I think what you are missing is that in all transactions in the current financial system there is an additional source of counterparty risk in the bank itself. When SVB failed, if the government did not intervene all depositors would have lost all the money stored in the bank and all pending transactions would also have been lost. Or if you use a credit card, if the issuing bank goes bankrupt between the time the purchase was made and the business received the funds in their bank the business would lose the thing they sold and not receive money for it.
> I think what you are missing is that in all transactions in the current financial system there is an additional source of counterparty risk in the bank itself.
This is not a risk I have really worried about. I much much larger problems dealing with bad faith actors dealing meatspace goods than I have with my bank.
Plus, you gloss over the fact that my money in the bank is actually federally insured. If both the bank and the federal insurance fails, I will have much larger problems than my bank account - there is unlikely a scenario where that happens and my basic livelihood is not threatened, and doubly unlikely that I'll have access to a reliable network for engaging with a blockchain.
You're describing things that are very unlikely.
Perhaps you're right about digital contracts? Maybe goods that can be encrypted are able to be effective traded without risk - though I have a hard time envisioning completely removing the risk of a bad actor. There will always need to be some kind of trusted third party to arbitrate, and block chains do not provide that.
Not to mention, I can't think of a single digital good that I've needed where the transaction would have been improved by using a blockchain cryptocurrency.
> You're describing things that are very unlikely.
It happened not even a year ago with SVB. Also, like my original comment says, you are taking a very US centered perspective when you say things are low risk.
Not OP, but based on my (limited) understanding.. it should be possible to use something like a smart contract to provide a stable and auditable surface area whereby two parties could exchange funds for goods via escrow. You would be trusting the underlying platform, but it seems to remove the dependence on the person selling to you as being a good actor.
Crypto hasn't solved the digital scarcity issue at all. If the game stops existing so do the servers hosting the assets, since most crypto systems can only hold small tokens rather than the assets themselves. There are plenty of NFT examples where the underlying company went broke and the assets themselves disappeared from the internet. The MTG example falls flat if Wizards (the owners) take down their asset hosting services, so it's still mostly centralized and dependent on a company to function.
I believe this depends on the location of hosting. One version is that things are hosted by URI on wizards.com. Another is the data being stored on something content-addressable like IPFS where anyone with the content can verifiably attest to both ownership (b/c it's on the block chain) and that this is the real thing (b/c the content hashes match).
> Crypto also has value as being able to create digital scarcity and ownership. For example, when you play games online today and you purchase cosmetic items or you play magic the gathering and buy cards, it's pretty silly that you only own a license to use those things for as long as the game exists and there is no way to trade them.
This is nonsensical. Unless two games support some agreed upon mesh/texture format you're never going to be able to transfer your SpongeBob NFT into Call of Duty. Games aren't going to import foreign mechanics into their engines, a fantasy RPG doesn't have a way to use your Laso-o-blast 5000. A Magic card is useless in a game of Pokémon. Your Magic card isn't an unbeatable poker hand.
Digital scarcity is a problem looking to insert itself where no problem needs to exist. The world doesn't need digital scarcity. There's enough scarcity in the world already.
The marginal cost of digital goods is effectively zero. It's an anti-feature to try to push the marginal cost above zero.
That is one perspective but I think people actually want digital scarcity. The rare pokemon card that someone owns makes them happy because it's rare, otherwise they could have just bought a high quality print of it and stuck it on the wall of their room.
I think scarcity is obviously terrible for things like food and housing but for entertainment like above I don't think it is.
The pokémon card is only valuable in the context of the pokémon game. Like the above comment said, a magic player doesn’t care about your pokémon card, so this isn’t a shareable asset.
On the other hand, if you have a rare pokémon card and another player sees it in game, that’s a cool moment, blockchain or not.
> For example, when you play games online today and you purchase cosmetic items or you play magic the gathering and buy cards, it's pretty silly that you only own a license to use those things for as long as the game exists and there is no way to trade them.
Those cosmetics or digital MtG cards would be just useless strings of bytes without a game to use them in. Might as well tie them to the game explicitly, by storing them on the game's server. Also, there's a way to trade digital MtG cards in Magic: Online (not in Magic Arena though). A friend of mine has made a living trading those digital cards for many years (by running trading bots).
I've heard the argument about online games using blockchain to store ownership data. I've not heard how it would actually improve things in practice. I'd love to know scenario people are thinking of here.
As charitably as possible, I can only think of a situation where there was no central server and instead the game was peer to peer. But then, it's very hard to imagine how to run the other parts of the game in a way that prevents cheating and makes the items 'meaningful'. The hard part would not be the storage of agreed item data but running the world real time on the client without verification but trusted.
Peer to peer worlds are an exciting idea but blockchains just don't solve them.
The other way people seem to suggest is when the servers are offline? Usually, that means the game is dead but let's imagine they open sourced the server. Well, then I guess you either have to trust the new server admins (no need for blockchain) or you could only allow items generated by the original game server only. But in this case, too, you could simplify things by just having a private key signature from the original server and a public key on each client. No need for blockchain there either.
Please help me understand because I'm genuinely interested.
One idea is to have a central network of 3d game assets and to give a license that anyone can use them for free in their game or experience as long as their game is part of the network and enforces the rule that assets can only be used by players that own them.
To make this beneficial to the game creators and artists, they can receive a percentage of each transaction made.
Can you detail why you would use blockchain to solve this?
If I wanted to keep things simple, and I already had to rely on a central server for the assets, why not also do verification there too? It seems like it would be a lot easier. The participating games still rely on your servers being available.
Or is it that the assets themselves are stored in a peer to peer fashion? In this case, how do you deal with the large size of the assets for each client? Blockchains are huge for the amount of data that they might contain, and game assets tend to be pretty big.
If the network runs only on the participating developer servers - maybe then the size isn't too big of a deal? But then those developers would still have to be trusted to participate (enforced via contract) so then it's back to the central server being a lot simpler solution.
The HN community grew sceptical of blockchain after some initial interest because it didn't seem to help in a lot of places it was marketed for.
The technology seems to stay alive because it turned out that it's a great vehicle for some kind of new multi-level-marketing. You can promise a piece of the action to people in some partially verifiable way. The tech is complicated enough that a lot of people think they own something when they don't.
Just because it is a good vehicle for scams doesn't mean it is not also useful for legitimate technology, but I haven't seen too many examples of the latter.
This is the theory that has been pitched for years. The reality, it turns out, is that no game creator is motivated to build their game in such a way that it can support third-party assets tied to a blockchain.
Do you have to support all assets on the chain? That has a very high barrier of entry, unless the assets are shared between games. But that’s not how art styles work, you can’t just drop a random asset in your game and expect it to fit in. So unless all the games are just reskins of each other that doesn’t make sense.
I guess it could be a mod situation? But then the platform holder can just do profit sharing a la Roblox.
Or do you only support certain assets? At that point why not just make your game off the chain and collab with other properties?
This is more a personal stance than anything else but digital scarcity shouldn’t exist. We’ve created this digital world that doesn’t have much of the physical constraints on it, why introduce them into it. What’s the point?
Wouldn't an authenticated linked list data structure be a very simple append-only database? That's the whole critique, as storage technologies they are very bare-bones, and they make trade offs that just don't come up organically in most software development, you normally are building distributed systems for performance and availability, blockchains provide availability at the cost of performance to satisfy the requirement that writers be downright adversarial in nature, and you normally simply don't allow untrusted parties to access the database.
I've only ever seen bad-faith arguments about oracles. They set up the goal posts as if the goal was "You can trust absolutely nothing. You are born and will die trapped in The Matrix. You are in Descartes's proposal where everything you can possibly observe is a deception from a malicious demon. How do you set up a home-loan contract?" And then declare themselves clever by pointing out that any input to the system requires trusting that input.
That's not the goal of trustless contracts.
The goal is that some resident of an oppressive nation can get a loan without being denied all access to finance at the whim of government-controlled bank. Can't trust your region's banks? Crypto is a wild land. But, it's a better alternative for billions of people.
It's easy to say that crypto is useless when you are in the top 2% of global wealth, a well-regulated banking system is scrambling to serve you, your government doesn't frequently confiscate your assets or inflate your hard-earned money to worthlessness.
And, it's easy to complain that crypto didn't magically spring from bottom-up grass-roots overnight, solving all financial problems by the poor for the poor in a single step before enriching a bunch of already-rich tech bros.
Creating a new global financial system from scratch is a lot of work. It requires a lot of investment, a lot of losses, a lot of hard-earned lessons. Blockchains have been demonstrating utility in that endeavor for 15 years. Growing from nothing to being valued higher than the global market of silver in that time.
Maybe "global financial system" is a small number of uses. But, it's a small number of rather large, rather important uses.
But is it even possible to achieve that goal? It seems like the only kind of loans supported by cryptocurrency use cryptocurrency as collateral - that is, they’re effectively margin loans used to increase leverage, or a way to cash out while avoiding taxes. That seems rather limiting. Are there other ways to implement loans?
I’m skeptical because repossessing real-world collateral is a physical process, not something just done on in software.
You are correct. There are no crypto police to confiscate your home as collateral. So, you have to do the whole deal in crypto. Without oracles, your only foundational tools are: wallets, time and sign-offs as inputs to smart contracts. Everything is built up from there.
Right now you can get a DeFi loan at places like changenow.io that don't even require you to sign in. You put up crypto collateral. When you pay back the loan with accumulated interest you get your collateral back. If your collateral drops in value to 50% of the loan amount, you lose it and are released from the loan.
You could pay for home that way. But, I wouldn't recommend it. Maybe there are more suitable options out there I'm unaware of. It's all definitely a work in progress :P
I don't know off-hand. I do know that millions of people distributed around the world are motivated to the tune of trillions of dollars to figure out how to make this stuff work better in more situations.
Good that you admit you don't know. However, "motivated" is something someone could say about anybody's relationship to any important problem. There's a sense in which I'm motivated to invent a room temperature superconductor, but I'm not working on it and have no clue how to do it.
I had the same question. Typically, loans are inherently trustful, because the bank has to trust to get the money back at some point. And if the debtor does not want to pay, there is (hopefully) a working justice system to make them pay, which is also something the bank trusts in.
Right now you can get a DeFi loan at places like changenow.io that don't even require you to sign in. You put up crypto collateral. When you pay back the loan with accumulated interest you get your collateral back. If your collateral drops in value to 50% of the loan amount, you lose it and are released from the loan.
This all happens via distributed execution of a smart contract. No banks or governments required.
If you're getting a home loan in an oppressive nation that doesn't want you to for some reason, they can seemingly stop you from owning or occupying a house even if you managed to get a loan in a cryptocurrency rather than the nation's officially recognized currency. Putting aside that the home's current owner, which may be a bank, would need to accept that cryptocurrency in the first place.
Gah. I shouldn't have mentioned houses... Now everyone is drilling down into houses. Which is an obviously difficult use case.
I can't solve all of the worlds problems, for all possible situations, today, in pure crypto. It's new financial system that's just barely getting started.
The easiest solution would be to do a person-to-person trade of a house that's not owned by a bank. If it is owned by a bank, then the bank probably going to expect local currency. So, the buyer or seller will need to find a means to convert crypto to local money. Though with crypto ETFs taking off, banks are getting less picky by the day. As for "What if your govt just takes your home away?", crypto doesn't solve oppression directly in one step. It gives people a lot more freedom from government oppression. Ex: It gives them options to leave the country without worrying about how the govt is going confiscate their local currency in the process --because their wealth is not stored in local currency.
The summary appears to be that participants can stake their non-DAI crypto assets into the system, and then borrow an equivalent amount of DAI at current prices minus a haircut (e.g. 80% of what they put in). This is the way DAI is created. Borrowers pay interest on their borrowed DAI. (How does this not result in a negative total amount of DAI? not sure)
If your borrowed DAI falls below another threshold (e.g. 90%) of the value of your collateral, you lose all your collateral. Someone somewhere gets to buy your collateral for only 90% of its dollar value in DAI, and is incentivized to do so because they can then get 100% of the value back on the open market. Therefore borrowers are incentivized to keep their borrowing below this threshold.
That's a pretty standard DeFi loan system; it seems there are also a lot more tacked-on bits which, I assume, prevent it from melting down in a similar way to all the other DeFi loan systems...
Yeah, agreed some of the things people point to with regards to the oracle problem are hysteria or not relevant but it is a very real problem. It also leads to lots of confusion (or grifting) when people don't acknowledge it and act like you can have "trustless weather reports" or things like that. Many oracle problems won't arise until the stakes are high enough
Yeah, ultimately there is only one reason to use what people are calling "a blockchain", and that is when the system requires global unrestricted membership, where anybody can spin up any number of new nodes at any time if they want to. This is rare.
That one requirement is what triggers a exponential spray of additional features and complexity and tradeoffs, each one designed to curb the worst security-risks or performance-issues from the previous step until you get something not-too-horrible.
When you relax that requirement, everything can be reduced to a dramatically simpler, faster, easier-to-manage system, which often qualifies as a "traditional" distributed database.
_____
For example, take election voting records. Nobody actually needs to allow infinite/random nodes to pop up anywhere at any time simply to "Dude I saw that too" the data.
"Blockchain" proposals all carry serious risks, like: People losing their vote because they didn't stay at the polls for an hour to confirm that it went through and re-vote if it didn't; Some foreign government declaring their own National Botnet Day to fuck it up; Your own government pre-emptively investing bajillions in a short-term "defensive" CPU mob that you might not be able to trust either; etc.
In contrast, a far saner traditional approach: The election already relies on authorities for voter-rolls and candidate-choice. So have each US state runs 3-5 DB nodes, blend in 50 nodes from federal government agencies. That small networkof 200-300 computers get preloaded with one-another's public keys and IP addresses. The only other computers they need talk to are the ones reporting from respective state polling sites.
Safety comes from the fact that any attack (record tampering or plain day-ruining sabotage) would require an attacker to simultaneously hack, corrupt, or destroy many different groups/locations simultaneously, which is pretty unlikely. The system would be dramatically faster, cheaper, easier to audit, better able to tolerate local polling site connection outages, etc.
...Buuuut it doesn't drive the cryptocurrency PR hype machine. I'm OK with that.
The "1-2%" number the author repeatedly cites is misleading at best. These fees do not scale with the amount transacted. BTC tranfers are currently ~$0.80 whether you're moving $1 or $100k, which is a unique feature.
> SQL databases will continue to get faster as hardware speeds up - but blockchains only tend to get slower, as the volume of transactions grows.
This is also misleading, as there are systems like Solana which prioritize speed of confirmation, and do indeed get faster as hardware speeds up. It also allows for sub-cent fees (again, not based on a percentage of the amount moved).
> and do indeed get faster as hardware speeds up.
This is not actually true, it still has the same scaling bottlenecks with state access but they are expressed differently (via hidden tx finality slowdowns) since it does not have an effective fee market.
Solana also ignores that part of the core reasoning that you'd want to use blockchains is for their decentralization and your ability to independently verify them in their pursuit of being able to claim 4000 tx/s. You need a 10 gigabit network connection to run a full node.
Ideal condition speed vs congestion speed is a different thing- I'm not suggesting they don't face the standard scaling bottlenecks, but it is also true that under similar congestion conditions, the network will run faster as hardware improves.
SQL databases also run slower under high load, which is totally independent of faster hardware allowing for faster databases vs the baseline
Re: independent verification, I agree with you. It's not a great tradeoff. I'm not here to shill Solana as a panacea or anything of the sort, just pointing out clear inaccuracies from the OOP.
But it doesn't, nobody has strictly improved on bitcoin (in terms of crypto design) since it was developed. Other cryptos will make claims about their speed or other things compared to bitcoin but never highlight what trade offs they had to make for those
Ethereum is a strict improvement on Bitcoin in nearly every way. Proof of Stake is a much better consensus mechanism all-around. Smart contracts allow for way more use-cases than just money transfer. The account model is much simpler and more intuitive than UTXO. The block time is considerably faster and finality is guaranteed.
It's not a strict improvement though, it's a set of tradeoffs
Wrong. Some other cryptos do highlight their trade-offs. E.g. google "This isn’t to say Grin is better than others, it simply makes different tradeoffs."
Okay, you're right I should have said "most don't" got em
My company actually does have a use case where a blockchain makes sense, and we are proceeding that with it. Unfortunately we have a buzzword trifecta of "blockchain", "AI", and "cloud" so we are careful about the words we use when we talk about it publicly.
We never utter the work blockchain because if you say "a blockchain" most people hear ** THE blockchain!! ** and either think we're a yet another bunch of scammers or worse, get tremendously excited thinking we're doing web3 or some other scam they want in on. Instead we say "we protect the data using Merkel trees."
We have the other buzzword problem too: we use some machine vision (for some safety matters) and use RNNs to determine some local operating parameters and to crunch data for some lab experiments. Even though we have two former AI research scientists on the team, none of us want to be lumped in with the big langage model folks, since that's not what we do (and the hype is insane).
The blockchain application: we have a shitload of sensors monitoring equipment we'll be deploying all over the world. Our revenue depends on the performance of this equipment. So every sensor is built into a little box that signs and timestamps its data. The data are aggregated by the equipment and streamed up to our servers (cough "the cloud"). Connectivity can be intermittent, so machines can offload data to topologically nearby installations.
It's actually pretty nice to be outside the hype bubbles. We just concentrate on our work instead, and mostly the prospective customers don't understand any of the tech, much less what those buzzwords mean.
If I understood your use case correctly, then you don’t actually have a decentralized deployment since there’s a central server, and you’re literally not employing the blockchain though?
Yeah, we only need a distributed chain at the edge, and even there there aren’t “competing” changes in the sense there could be in an implementation of a currency. But it’s a block chain like any other Merkel tree.
But it’s to prove chain of custody / lack of tampering since revenue ultimately depends on the data.
This article lists international money transfers as a non-useful application of blockchains. USDT on Tron alone is now settling 1.25T$ (1/3 of Visa’s annual settlement volume).
Clearly some people do find them useful.
I think the autor would argue that we are still in the era of "crypto is too small to fully regulate" stage. But if we take it to the extreme and 50% of all transactions are done with a crypto currency, why would governments _not_ apply all the traditional financial regulations to crypto? Moving money internationally is not hard due to technical reasons, but due to political reasons.
Easier said than done.
With crypto, you can move a billion dollars in 15 minutes to anywhere in the world for like $15, without giving away either source or destination. To do this, you need to send about 250 bytes of information to any node in the blockchain network, using any way possible, up to and including dictating these numbers by phone or writing them on a piece of paper and smuggling said piece to anybody with a non-censored internet connection.
Goverments can make this illegal, but it is impossible to enforce it. These 250 bytes are just another "illegal number", which can be written anywhere, sewn on your t-shirt, etched in stone, etc. There are many fully secure ways to transmit 250 bytes without anyone knowing about it (including governments). Therefore, there is a secure and bulletproof way to smuggle a billion dollars out of the country without getting stopped.
No one can do anything about it.
(Well, there is a crypto-sanctions mechanism which can taint some money on the blockchain and can make it difficult to sell on exchanges etc. But it just creates some inconvenience -- there are many ways to launder crypto, from mixers to bridges and coinjoin and anonymizing through fees arbitrage and whatever).
> No one can do anything about it
Maybe online, but with state actors the fear is what they can/will do to you IRL and how to avoid ever raising suspicion. And moving a billion dollars overnight is something that I think is impossible to do with raising eyebrows, regardless of the technical mechanism to move it.
If you observe the activity on blockchains, there are occasionally billion dollar-class transfers visible. Nobody knows who is behind them.
if you make it illegal to convert btc to cash (which a government can do trivially), my contention is that this will kill crypto. Most people simply don't want to break the law. Much of the liquidity in the system dries up. Yes you can break the law if you want, but that just goes to show that crypto's number one real world use case is to skirt regulations.
Regulations are not always a force of good to be observed all the time, particularly in non-democratic countries.
The whole point of crypto is that, assuming you stay fully on chain, it cannot be regulated the way banks are. When you have the right keys and a connection to a node, nothing can stop you from sending BTC to another wallet. Regulation of crypto is possible only at the blockchain-tradfi interface (e.g. US Govt could tell Coinbase to not interact with a particular wallet). However, if crypto gains the sort of traction where you can buy most items with purely on-chain transfer, regulation becomes close to impossible as we see with cash.
The government in question can easily pass a law making it illegal for traditional financial institutions to interact with crypto. In this scenario, most users will simply stop using it to follow the law. For the die hards fans they will still reduce the use of the currency. They need to pay for taxes in the national currency and thus need income in the national currency. You still owe taxes on illegal income. Businesses need to pay payroll, vendors, and all taxes in the national currency. All of this means that individuals and businesses need national currency backed transactions to get the national currency to pay the taxes.
I agree that if you made "using btc" illegal then you and I could still send each other BTC. But I believe that you would rapidly see the use of crypto die out if governments cut it off from trad-fi, which they could do trivially easily.
Posession of gold was banned in several leadimg economies such as US and UK in the 20th century [1]. Didnt really stop people from using gold as a store of value.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_Order_6102
If we take the logical extreme to mean that 50% of the transactions are carried out by 50% of the people, why would, at least where there are democratic governments, the people actively choose crypto because of its unregulated properties and then promptly undo it all with regulation?
But you're probably thinking of either cases where 50% of the transactions are carried out by a much smaller segment of the population or where there is a dictatorship?
Assuming full regulation is possible, would crypto still be useful? It seems a very large portion of its utility is in its semi-unregulated nature.
I would have agreed, but the US BTC ETF success shows that people care about the asset of BTC divorced from the promise of lack of regulation.
Or is the US BTC ETF just a convenient way to speculate on the rising value of BTC, when the rising value is driven by the illicit activity happening elsewhere?
That’s just gambling
I would agree
International money transfers is the only really useful (non-scammy) application I can see for blockchains. But I personally wouldn't use cryptocurrency for even that because of the elevated risk involved.
isn't git effectively a blockchain? Its got blocks, they are chained (or tree'd) (to some degree), it doesn't need verifiers or mining since it can have users signing their inputs, and that is the only thing to be cared about.
Git does not have a consensus mechanism. You have your copy of the repository, and someone else has their copy. If you want to push your changes to a remote, if there were divergent changes you need to first pull the remote, merge the changes and resolve conflicts, and then push. The remote can change their version of the repo anytime they want in any way they want. Also, when you try to push a change, it is up to the remote to accept it or not, they can deny it for whatever reason.
The point of a blockchain is that 1. There is a distributed consensus about the state of the blockchain (the one accepted by 51%+ of nodes) and 2. No one can alter information relating to your wallet without your keys. Git lacks either of these properties and these properties cannot be introduced without a centralized system like Github/Gitlab. Thus, Git is just a decentralized protocol, not a blockchain.
I'd agree if blockchains didn't also fork based on disagreements of the next block.
> No one can alter information relating to your wallet without your keys
Git has signing of commits etc. So the equivalent (no one can alter your presentation of the view of the code) can be enforced.
- - -
To focus on 1 specific concept of consensus, would be to also claim the very common idea of private blockchains is poorly named.
> isn't git effectively a blockchain?
IMO no, this is one of those cases where a word means a lot more than just its component parts, much like how "television" means a lot more than just "anything where you do far-seeing."
The practical/effective distinction between what is promoted as "blockchain" and older stuff--like "a distributed database with cryptographic features"--involves:
1. Unrestricted global public membership, new nodes can be created by anyone at any time.
2. A global data structure that cannot have more than short-term conflicts or branches. (Hence a pruned "chain" instead of "tree".)
3. A cascade of other features all designed to stop someone from taking advantage of #1 and #2 to take over with an infinite army of sockpuppet nodes. (Proof of work, proof of stake, etc.)
In contrast, with git:
1. The default membership is "just me." Groups are ad-hoc as you find other people who you do (or don't) agree to work with and choose what to push/pull to one another.
2. Separate branches are extremely normal and can live indefinitely, and it's also normal to shift data from a conflicting branch or entirely rewrite subtrees.
3. There is no "majority rule" or "tiebreaker" logic, and thus no extra machinery to try to stop it.
The verification and mining are the things that make blockchains unique (allow for adversarial nodes, censorship resistance) but you're not wrong that blockchains have a lot in common with git
it's pretty much the exact same principle, the chain of hashed commit contents being part of the input to the next commit in the branch have the same property
That's ONE of the linchpins of cryptocurrency, yes. Git has that part.
Someone else mentioned consensus which is orthogonal. Git does not have that part.
Blockchains are not intended to be a universal solution, they excel in different ways, particularly enabling trustless and censorship-resistant value transfer. Which, for many new chains, is still their most used function.
Blockchain came about because of the assumption that an internet currency must be zero-trust.
But let's look at these paragraphs:
> Blockchain stocks fail criterion #2: there being no trusted party to host the database. The fact is that if you're going to hold the shares of a company, you explicitly need to trust them - so you may as well trust them to host your database.
> For example you need to trust that their published financial statements are accurate. You also need to trust that they will try to return your investment. Traditional companies hold their own register of shareholders (they just outsource the trading) and it is a problem very, very rarely.
Currencies work because we trust that the government (IE, the thing that governs,) keeps a stable value in the currency. IE, currencies are built on trust.
Even Bitcoin relies on trust: You have to trust the source code. You have to trust that there isn't a large bad actor perpetuating a >50% attack. You have to trust that, at some point in the future, your bitcoin will be worth something. Governments have it in their best interests to keep their currency valuable. (Unless you're post-WWI Germany and it's in your best interest to hyper-inflate your currency to make your debt worthless. IE, Germany realized that hyper-inflation was preferable to the economic toll of paying off their debt.)
This lesson, that currencies only work through trust, really negates the point of cryptocurrency for general-purpose usage.
I've built consumer apps in the space since 2016. (See lab.dns.xyz for context).
At the end of the day, even if you gave the average person a venmo like UX that paid in any currency, instantly, for nearly zero fees, I still don't expect them to prefer it to a dollar bill or gold.
While the counterpoints regarding UX are very significant (lose all your money in one click, no undo, lack of support, difficult concepts that don't map to common consumer use cases), they can be solved through sheer effort. We did that on dns.xyz. Social login, gasless minting, rollup for fast interactions, all doable.
There is no escaping the fact that blockchains are slow databases. That they aren't particularly good at storing data. Much less private than one might think.
You do get consensus and attribution. You can use it as a sort of open standard or api where the items you've bought or the things you're written are open enough to be reused in the future.
None of these problems are pains that need solving. And they are inferior solutions compared with alternatives.
It is great tech. It is great intellectual exploration. It is a fun stack. It has made people money through unregulated speculation.
But it is tarnished, clunky, and not necessary.
Crypto is a way to store and exchange things over the internet without counterparty risk. Crypto has value for the same reason gold has value beyond its practical use. Think SVB type situations or needing to flee a country that just became a dictatorship.
The article espouses a very US centric view where the government is a trusted arbiter of all financial transactions and there is always a trusted third party to take on counterparty risk. This is obviously not the case all over the world.
The question is how much is that actually worth and can it support crypto's current market capitalization?
Crypto also has value as being able to create digital scarcity and ownership. For example, when you play games online today and you purchase cosmetic items or you play magic the gathering and buy cards, it's pretty silly that you only own a license to use those things for as long as the game exists and there is no way to trade them.
The above concept obviously falls flat when there is no effective scarcity, ie when everyone and their mother can produce nfts that are just jpegs with no actual use. Compare this to a magic the gathering or pokemon card that is just cardboard but still manages to maintain its value.
> Crypto is a way to store and exchange things over the internet without counterparty risk.
I feel like I must be missing something, because there's still massive amounts of counterparty risk. If you're engaging with a bad actor, the only thing that it can guarantee is that the transfer of payment is completed, but there are no guarantees around the exchange of value.
If you're trading with someone operating in bad faith, there is nothing about blockchain that is going to help you, and in fact it becomes much worse, because there is no mechanism for forcing refunds. At least with legal tender you have entire systems in place for dealing with bad actors. I'm more that willing to recognize there are massive problems with those systems, but I have never understood how blockchain replaces those systems.
Can you explain in detail what you mean when you say there isn't any counterparty risk?
You are right that in the scenario of exchanging crypto for physical goods there is counterparty risk but when using crypto along with digital contracts there is not.
I think what you are missing is that in all transactions in the current financial system there is an additional source of counterparty risk in the bank itself. When SVB failed, if the government did not intervene all depositors would have lost all the money stored in the bank and all pending transactions would also have been lost. Or if you use a credit card, if the issuing bank goes bankrupt between the time the purchase was made and the business received the funds in their bank the business would lose the thing they sold and not receive money for it.
> I think what you are missing is that in all transactions in the current financial system there is an additional source of counterparty risk in the bank itself.
This is not a risk I have really worried about. I much much larger problems dealing with bad faith actors dealing meatspace goods than I have with my bank.
Plus, you gloss over the fact that my money in the bank is actually federally insured. If both the bank and the federal insurance fails, I will have much larger problems than my bank account - there is unlikely a scenario where that happens and my basic livelihood is not threatened, and doubly unlikely that I'll have access to a reliable network for engaging with a blockchain.
You're describing things that are very unlikely.
Perhaps you're right about digital contracts? Maybe goods that can be encrypted are able to be effective traded without risk - though I have a hard time envisioning completely removing the risk of a bad actor. There will always need to be some kind of trusted third party to arbitrate, and block chains do not provide that.
Not to mention, I can't think of a single digital good that I've needed where the transaction would have been improved by using a blockchain cryptocurrency.
> You're describing things that are very unlikely.
It happened not even a year ago with SVB. Also, like my original comment says, you are taking a very US centered perspective when you say things are low risk.
Not OP, but based on my (limited) understanding.. it should be possible to use something like a smart contract to provide a stable and auditable surface area whereby two parties could exchange funds for goods via escrow. You would be trusting the underlying platform, but it seems to remove the dependence on the person selling to you as being a good actor.
Can’t you do that with a normal escrow service? People do it every day when they buy houses and other expensive items.
Why bother with blockchain?
Crypto hasn't solved the digital scarcity issue at all. If the game stops existing so do the servers hosting the assets, since most crypto systems can only hold small tokens rather than the assets themselves. There are plenty of NFT examples where the underlying company went broke and the assets themselves disappeared from the internet. The MTG example falls flat if Wizards (the owners) take down their asset hosting services, so it's still mostly centralized and dependent on a company to function.
I believe this depends on the location of hosting. One version is that things are hosted by URI on wizards.com. Another is the data being stored on something content-addressable like IPFS where anyone with the content can verifiably attest to both ownership (b/c it's on the block chain) and that this is the real thing (b/c the content hashes match).
Plus even if you have the assets themselves they're likely useless without the game's original proprietary software for interpreting them.
> Crypto also has value as being able to create digital scarcity and ownership. For example, when you play games online today and you purchase cosmetic items or you play magic the gathering and buy cards, it's pretty silly that you only own a license to use those things for as long as the game exists and there is no way to trade them.
This is nonsensical. Unless two games support some agreed upon mesh/texture format you're never going to be able to transfer your SpongeBob NFT into Call of Duty. Games aren't going to import foreign mechanics into their engines, a fantasy RPG doesn't have a way to use your Laso-o-blast 5000. A Magic card is useless in a game of Pokémon. Your Magic card isn't an unbeatable poker hand.
Digital scarcity is a problem looking to insert itself where no problem needs to exist. The world doesn't need digital scarcity. There's enough scarcity in the world already.
The marginal cost of digital goods is effectively zero. It's an anti-feature to try to push the marginal cost above zero.
That is one perspective but I think people actually want digital scarcity. The rare pokemon card that someone owns makes them happy because it's rare, otherwise they could have just bought a high quality print of it and stuck it on the wall of their room.
I think scarcity is obviously terrible for things like food and housing but for entertainment like above I don't think it is.
The pokémon card is only valuable in the context of the pokémon game. Like the above comment said, a magic player doesn’t care about your pokémon card, so this isn’t a shareable asset.
On the other hand, if you have a rare pokémon card and another player sees it in game, that’s a cool moment, blockchain or not.
> That is one perspective but I think people actually want digital scarcity.
In the same way that a heroin addict wants heroin.
> For example, when you play games online today and you purchase cosmetic items or you play magic the gathering and buy cards, it's pretty silly that you only own a license to use those things for as long as the game exists and there is no way to trade them.
Those cosmetics or digital MtG cards would be just useless strings of bytes without a game to use them in. Might as well tie them to the game explicitly, by storing them on the game's server. Also, there's a way to trade digital MtG cards in Magic: Online (not in Magic Arena though). A friend of mine has made a living trading those digital cards for many years (by running trading bots).
I've heard the argument about online games using blockchain to store ownership data. I've not heard how it would actually improve things in practice. I'd love to know scenario people are thinking of here.
As charitably as possible, I can only think of a situation where there was no central server and instead the game was peer to peer. But then, it's very hard to imagine how to run the other parts of the game in a way that prevents cheating and makes the items 'meaningful'. The hard part would not be the storage of agreed item data but running the world real time on the client without verification but trusted.
Peer to peer worlds are an exciting idea but blockchains just don't solve them.
The other way people seem to suggest is when the servers are offline? Usually, that means the game is dead but let's imagine they open sourced the server. Well, then I guess you either have to trust the new server admins (no need for blockchain) or you could only allow items generated by the original game server only. But in this case, too, you could simplify things by just having a private key signature from the original server and a public key on each client. No need for blockchain there either.
Please help me understand because I'm genuinely interested.
One idea is to have a central network of 3d game assets and to give a license that anyone can use them for free in their game or experience as long as their game is part of the network and enforces the rule that assets can only be used by players that own them.
To make this beneficial to the game creators and artists, they can receive a percentage of each transaction made.
Thanks for sharing.
Can you detail why you would use blockchain to solve this?
If I wanted to keep things simple, and I already had to rely on a central server for the assets, why not also do verification there too? It seems like it would be a lot easier. The participating games still rely on your servers being available.
Or is it that the assets themselves are stored in a peer to peer fashion? In this case, how do you deal with the large size of the assets for each client? Blockchains are huge for the amount of data that they might contain, and game assets tend to be pretty big.
If the network runs only on the participating developer servers - maybe then the size isn't too big of a deal? But then those developers would still have to be trusted to participate (enforced via contract) so then it's back to the central server being a lot simpler solution.
The HN community grew sceptical of blockchain after some initial interest because it didn't seem to help in a lot of places it was marketed for.
The technology seems to stay alive because it turned out that it's a great vehicle for some kind of new multi-level-marketing. You can promise a piece of the action to people in some partially verifiable way. The tech is complicated enough that a lot of people think they own something when they don't.
Just because it is a good vehicle for scams doesn't mean it is not also useful for legitimate technology, but I haven't seen too many examples of the latter.
This is the theory that has been pitched for years. The reality, it turns out, is that no game creator is motivated to build their game in such a way that it can support third-party assets tied to a blockchain.
This doesn’t make any sense to a developer.
Do you have to support all assets on the chain? That has a very high barrier of entry, unless the assets are shared between games. But that’s not how art styles work, you can’t just drop a random asset in your game and expect it to fit in. So unless all the games are just reskins of each other that doesn’t make sense.
I guess it could be a mod situation? But then the platform holder can just do profit sharing a la Roblox.
Or do you only support certain assets? At that point why not just make your game off the chain and collab with other properties?
This is more a personal stance than anything else but digital scarcity shouldn’t exist. We’ve created this digital world that doesn’t have much of the physical constraints on it, why introduce them into it. What’s the point?
Blockchain is best thought not as database, but a authenticated linked list data structure. Or, AES in CBC mode if you will.
Wouldn't an authenticated linked list data structure be a very simple append-only database? That's the whole critique, as storage technologies they are very bare-bones, and they make trade offs that just don't come up organically in most software development, you normally are building distributed systems for performance and availability, blockchains provide availability at the cost of performance to satisfy the requirement that writers be downright adversarial in nature, and you normally simply don't allow untrusted parties to access the database.
I've only ever seen bad-faith arguments about oracles. They set up the goal posts as if the goal was "You can trust absolutely nothing. You are born and will die trapped in The Matrix. You are in Descartes's proposal where everything you can possibly observe is a deception from a malicious demon. How do you set up a home-loan contract?" And then declare themselves clever by pointing out that any input to the system requires trusting that input.
That's not the goal of trustless contracts.
The goal is that some resident of an oppressive nation can get a loan without being denied all access to finance at the whim of government-controlled bank. Can't trust your region's banks? Crypto is a wild land. But, it's a better alternative for billions of people.
It's easy to say that crypto is useless when you are in the top 2% of global wealth, a well-regulated banking system is scrambling to serve you, your government doesn't frequently confiscate your assets or inflate your hard-earned money to worthlessness.
And, it's easy to complain that crypto didn't magically spring from bottom-up grass-roots overnight, solving all financial problems by the poor for the poor in a single step before enriching a bunch of already-rich tech bros.
Creating a new global financial system from scratch is a lot of work. It requires a lot of investment, a lot of losses, a lot of hard-earned lessons. Blockchains have been demonstrating utility in that endeavor for 15 years. Growing from nothing to being valued higher than the global market of silver in that time.
Maybe "global financial system" is a small number of uses. But, it's a small number of rather large, rather important uses.
But is it even possible to achieve that goal? It seems like the only kind of loans supported by cryptocurrency use cryptocurrency as collateral - that is, they’re effectively margin loans used to increase leverage, or a way to cash out while avoiding taxes. That seems rather limiting. Are there other ways to implement loans?
I’m skeptical because repossessing real-world collateral is a physical process, not something just done on in software.
You are correct. There are no crypto police to confiscate your home as collateral. So, you have to do the whole deal in crypto. Without oracles, your only foundational tools are: wallets, time and sign-offs as inputs to smart contracts. Everything is built up from there.
Right now you can get a DeFi loan at places like changenow.io that don't even require you to sign in. You put up crypto collateral. When you pay back the loan with accumulated interest you get your collateral back. If your collateral drops in value to 50% of the loan amount, you lose it and are released from the loan.
You could pay for home that way. But, I wouldn't recommend it. Maybe there are more suitable options out there I'm unaware of. It's all definitely a work in progress :P
What work is in progress on making loans less limited?
I don't know off-hand. I do know that millions of people distributed around the world are motivated to the tune of trillions of dollars to figure out how to make this stuff work better in more situations.
Good that you admit you don't know. However, "motivated" is something someone could say about anybody's relationship to any important problem. There's a sense in which I'm motivated to invent a room temperature superconductor, but I'm not working on it and have no clue how to do it.
I had the same question. Typically, loans are inherently trustful, because the bank has to trust to get the money back at some point. And if the debtor does not want to pay, there is (hopefully) a working justice system to make them pay, which is also something the bank trusts in.
Right now you can get a DeFi loan at places like changenow.io that don't even require you to sign in. You put up crypto collateral. When you pay back the loan with accumulated interest you get your collateral back. If your collateral drops in value to 50% of the loan amount, you lose it and are released from the loan.
This all happens via distributed execution of a smart contract. No banks or governments required.
If you're getting a home loan in an oppressive nation that doesn't want you to for some reason, they can seemingly stop you from owning or occupying a house even if you managed to get a loan in a cryptocurrency rather than the nation's officially recognized currency. Putting aside that the home's current owner, which may be a bank, would need to accept that cryptocurrency in the first place.
Gah. I shouldn't have mentioned houses... Now everyone is drilling down into houses. Which is an obviously difficult use case.
I can't solve all of the worlds problems, for all possible situations, today, in pure crypto. It's new financial system that's just barely getting started.
The easiest solution would be to do a person-to-person trade of a house that's not owned by a bank. If it is owned by a bank, then the bank probably going to expect local currency. So, the buyer or seller will need to find a means to convert crypto to local money. Though with crypto ETFs taking off, banks are getting less picky by the day. As for "What if your govt just takes your home away?", crypto doesn't solve oppression directly in one step. It gives people a lot more freedom from government oppression. Ex: It gives them options to leave the country without worrying about how the govt is going confiscate their local currency in the process --because their wealth is not stored in local currency.
"You are in Kant's proposal where everything you can possibly observe is a deception from a malicious demon."
It was Descartes who made this scenario well known long before Kant.
Thanks. I confused the two. It's been a long time since "History of Philosophy" back in uni :P
(2022)
Some discussion then: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32422082
Running programs in a decentralized, trustworthy way is useful for a million usecases.
One of the things this article gets wrong is how "facts about the real world" are made available to smart contracts.
It states that this is done via "a conventional program" and it makes the whole system "pointless".
Oracles can be set up in a way so that they rely on an incentive structure just like the rest of the system.
Example: The DAI stable coin does not hold its peg to the dollar because a conventional program feeds the DAI/USD price into the system.
What is the incentive structure that facilitates pegging DAI to the dollar?
Very complex. https://github.com/makerdao/dss/wiki
The summary appears to be that participants can stake their non-DAI crypto assets into the system, and then borrow an equivalent amount of DAI at current prices minus a haircut (e.g. 80% of what they put in). This is the way DAI is created. Borrowers pay interest on their borrowed DAI. (How does this not result in a negative total amount of DAI? not sure)
If your borrowed DAI falls below another threshold (e.g. 90%) of the value of your collateral, you lose all your collateral. Someone somewhere gets to buy your collateral for only 90% of its dollar value in DAI, and is incentivized to do so because they can then get 100% of the value back on the open market. Therefore borrowers are incentivized to keep their borrowing below this threshold.
That's a pretty standard DeFi loan system; it seems there are also a lot more tacked-on bits which, I assume, prevent it from melting down in a similar way to all the other DeFi loan systems...
Yeah, agreed some of the things people point to with regards to the oracle problem are hysteria or not relevant but it is a very real problem. It also leads to lots of confusion (or grifting) when people don't acknowledge it and act like you can have "trustless weather reports" or things like that. Many oracle problems won't arise until the stakes are high enough
There is room for only one blockchain app in the world we live in. And that is for Bitcoin.
Yeah, ultimately there is only one reason to use what people are calling "a blockchain", and that is when the system requires global unrestricted membership, where anybody can spin up any number of new nodes at any time if they want to. This is rare.
That one requirement is what triggers a exponential spray of additional features and complexity and tradeoffs, each one designed to curb the worst security-risks or performance-issues from the previous step until you get something not-too-horrible.
When you relax that requirement, everything can be reduced to a dramatically simpler, faster, easier-to-manage system, which often qualifies as a "traditional" distributed database.
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For example, take election voting records. Nobody actually needs to allow infinite/random nodes to pop up anywhere at any time simply to "Dude I saw that too" the data.
"Blockchain" proposals all carry serious risks, like: People losing their vote because they didn't stay at the polls for an hour to confirm that it went through and re-vote if it didn't; Some foreign government declaring their own National Botnet Day to fuck it up; Your own government pre-emptively investing bajillions in a short-term "defensive" CPU mob that you might not be able to trust either; etc.
In contrast, a far saner traditional approach: The election already relies on authorities for voter-rolls and candidate-choice. So have each US state runs 3-5 DB nodes, blend in 50 nodes from federal government agencies. That small networkof 200-300 computers get preloaded with one-another's public keys and IP addresses. The only other computers they need talk to are the ones reporting from respective state polling sites.
Safety comes from the fact that any attack (record tampering or plain day-ruining sabotage) would require an attacker to simultaneously hack, corrupt, or destroy many different groups/locations simultaneously, which is pretty unlikely. The system would be dramatically faster, cheaper, easier to audit, better able to tolerate local polling site connection outages, etc.
...Buuuut it doesn't drive the cryptocurrency PR hype machine. I'm OK with that.