I really would not be surprised to see OpenAI collapse - founders leaving like rats from a sinking ship is not a good sign, and not indicative of any AGI breakthrough on the horizon. Would not be surprised to see Brockman's "sabbatical" become permanent.
I have to wonder how long Anthropic can remain independent too, although at least they don't have toxic workplace and founder exodus issues to deal with. Maybe they get acquired by Amazon?